JD Vance ends in the thicket of immigration: from the political bureau

Welcome to the online version of Political officeAn evening newsletter that brings you the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Policy team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign campaign.

Happy first day of summer! In today’s edition, Jonathan Allen explores the challenges while waiting for vice-president JD Vance as he landed in Los Angeles. More, We dive into President Donald Trump’s penchant for a two -week calendar on major questions. And Dylan EBS answers the question of this week’s reader on the classified vote.

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– Adam Wollner

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The challenge that JD Vance faces by entering the fray of immigration

Jonathan Allen analysis

Vice-President JD Vance is in Patau Travel to Los AngelesWhere the Navies and the Forces of the National Guard have been deployed to provide a safeguard to federal agents carrying out raids.

For Vance, it is a delicate territory because President Donald Trump continues to change his mind – or at least his rhetoric – on the application of immigration.

On the one hand, Trump is impatient to make a campaign promise to expel millions of undocumented immigrants. Maga’s base requires. And Vance, who hopes to inherit the base of Maga, rarely moves away from his orthodoxy.

But on the other hand, Trump hesitated on certain parts of his own mass expulsion plan. After Trump said that workers in certain sectors – agriculture, hotels and restaurants – would not be targeted in raids, he quickly reversed this policy.

Vance finds himself playing a more visible role when the Maga movement feel the tension of a torn president between ideology and popularity.

It is not new for a vice-president to land in the middle of a annoying problem. Kamala Harris had the border portfolio in the administration of Joe Biden.

If Trump’s immigration policies have been successful, Vance will undoubtedly benefit. But if they don’t, he can suffer.

Find out more: The Court of Appeal says that Trump can keep control of the Troops of the California National Guardby Dennis Romero

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Two -week notice: Trump’s deadline on Iran is familiar

By Megan Shannon and Dareh Gregorian

President Donald Trump’s two-week calendar to decide whether the United States strikes Iranian nuclear sites are familiar.

“Based on the fact that there is substantial chances of negotiations which may or may not occur with Iran in the near future, I will decide or not in the next two weeks,” he said in a statement published by the White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt.

Since the beginning of May, Trump has promised an action on questions or decisions in “two weeks” about 10 times – and he used the same calendar several times during his first mandate.

“We are going to announce something, I would say over the next two or three weeks, which will be phenomenal in terms of tax and development of our aeronautical infrastructure,” said Trump about tax overhaul plans on February 9, 2017.

He published an overview of a page of the plan 11 weeks later, according to a Bloomberg this year’s examination.

He then repeatedly cited the deadline for imminent actions on health care and infrastructure that have never been materialized in the first four years in power.

The use by Trump of the synchronization prediction has accelerated in recent weeks – and it has used it on articles ranging from agreements and commercial prices to the Russian -Ukraine conflict. Much of what he has planned did not arrive, with questions he said he would answer unanswered.

Find out more about the frequent chronology of two -week Trump →

Consider our latest reports on the Israel-Iran conflict:

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✉️ Mailbag: How does the classified choice vote work?

Thank you to everyone who sent us an email! This week’s question comes from Thomas Gysegem:

“Will there be a vote classified in the primary of the mayor of New York?” Please explain how the classified vote works. “

To answer this, we turned to our intern, Dylan EBS, which has just set up a useful explanator on the process.

The voting classified as a choice, which New York uses for the primary elections of the mayor next week, is a system that allows voters to classify candidates in order of preference rather than choosing only one. The number of candidates’s voters can be classified depends on the specific rules of an area. In New York, voters can rank up to five in a single race.

However, voters do not have to fill their ballots. A voter whose heart is fixed on a single candidate cannot choose only one. But if this candidate does not obtain the most votes, this voter will not have his say in the later counting cycles.

Once the votes are tabulent, the last candidate is eliminated. The voting bulletins of voters who supported this candidate then have the following choice. If no candidate has reached 50%, then the counting of continues, eliminating another candidate in the last place and counting the following closing choices on all these ballots in the next round.

The process continues until a candidate reaches majority support and wins.

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It’s all of the political bureau for the moment. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Dylan EBS.

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