The ’12 -day war ‘ended with an attack on Qatar. Why did he not degenerate? | News Israel-Iran Conflict

When US President Donald Trump entered the war between Israel and Iran late Saturday evening, the region was prepared for climbing.

The United States has abandoned 17 massive penetrating bombs and two dozen cruise missiles on Iranian nuclear installations in Natanz, Fordow and Esfahan, helping Israel, who already exchanged missile fires with Tehran since July 13.

Iran’s response quickly arrived. On Monday evening, he launched 14 missiles targeting the central command of the American Air Force in the Middle East, in Al Udeid in Qatar, a neutral country. These missiles Survain the capitalDoha, alarm display.

However, instead of leading to the “Rathole of reprisals”, the UN secretary general, Antonio Guterres, had warned against, the attack presumed a truce that Trump announced a few hours later, and which was facilitated by sophisticated diplomacy involving Qatar, the United States and Iran.

So how is a cease-fire emerged from the smoke of an attack?

What options did Iran have?

A military response against an American base was an obvious choice because the United States has an exhibition in the Iranian district.

In addition to the Al Udeid air base, its fifth fleet has its registered office in Bahrain. Both are just over 200 km (125 miles) through the Persian Gulf of Iran. There is also an air base in Kuwait and four logistical air bases in Oman. Further on, the United States has three air bases in Saudi Arabia, three air bases in Iraq and an air base in Jordan.

“The United States has 40,000 soldiers in the region (ON) 19 American bases, eight of which are permanent, and Iran said previously that it will become legitimate targets if the United States strikes Iran,” said Dorsa Jabbari of Al Jazeera.

In the past, Iranian proxies in the region have been the “main Iranian means of Tehran against opposing attacks”, wrote the Institute for the study of warA Washington -based reflection group on Friday.

The Houthi militias could resume attacks on the Red Sea expedition, and Iran could itself attack navigation in the Hormuz Strait – thus threatening two of the most important shipping points in the world simultaneously.

But proxy attacks have never come, demonstrating the limits of Iran’s so-called “resistance axis”, and “how exhausted it is after months of fighting the United States and Israel,” the ISW said in a comment on its website.

However, even if the world was preparing for Iran to respond to American attacks, an Iranian historian from St Andrews University in the United Kingdom, he thought that “a ramp out” with the United States “was likely.

“There will be a lot of public boastful, but in private, I think that the windows will be extinguished,” he said before Iran’s strike later in the evening.

How did the strike go?

Around 7 p.m. local time (4:00 p.m. GMT) on Monday, Iran hit Qatar.

Qatar condemned the attack Like “an extremely dangerous escalation which represents a blatant violation of sovereignty and territorial integrity of the state of Qatar”. He published an approach to the Iranian ambassador in Doha.

But the “Feneurs” of which Ansari had spoken seems to have been extinguished in advance.

“I would like to thank Iran for giving us a notice early”, wrote Trump On social networks, “which did not lose any life, and no one to be injured.”

The warning also allowed Qatar to prepare for its air defenses, by cutting down 13 of the missiles and allowing to fly “in a non -threatening direction”, according to Trump.

Satellite images have suggested the United States had evacuated The staff and planes of Al Udeid before even hit Iran, so the targeting represented a low risk of victims. Neither the American base of Al Udeid nor the Qatari air army underwent some material losses.

“I am happy to announce that no American was injured, and practically no damage was made. Even more importantly, they got everything out of their” system “,” wrote Trump three hours after the attack.

Barely two hours later, he announced the ceasefire.

“Congratulations to everyone!” It was fully agreed by and between Israel and Iran that there will be a complete and total ceasefire (in around 6 hours, while Israel and Iran have finished and have finished their final missions!), ” Trump wrote On Truth Social, its social media platform.

Asset Later revealed This “Israel and Iran came to see me almost simultaneously, and said:” Peace! “”

The Iranian government was impatient to put the war behind it, publishing a declaration early Tuesday by saying that it had delivered a “humiliating and exemplary response to enemy cruelty”, and supervising the ceasefire as a “national decision to impose the cessation of war on the Zionist enemy and its valid supporters”.

How are Qatar relations with the United States and Iran?

Qatar welcomes the largest American air base in the Middle East and worked closely with Washington on a series of delicate diplomatic negotiations, involving the Taliban in Afghanistan and Hamas in Gaza, among others.

At the same time, he enjoys warm diplomatic and economic ties with Iran. “Pars South and North Pars and North Field have been a joint (Venture) for a long time – more than 25 years,” said Roudi Baroudi, an energy expert based in Doha, Al Jazeera, referring to the gas fields that Qatar and Iran share.

The South Pars gas field alone contains almost as much gas as all other known gas fields on the planet, said Boudi.

Right after announcing the ceasefire, Trump thanked the Emir of Qatar.

“I would like to thank the very respected emir of Qatar for everything he has done by looking for peace for the region,” he wrote on Truth Social. Meanwhile, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian phoned the Qatari emir on Tuesday to express “regret” for the attack the day before.

Pézehkian said that Qatar and his people were not the target of Iran’s strikes. “(Pezeshkian) stressed that the state of Qatar will remain a neighboring, Muslim and fraternal state, and has expressed his hope that relations between the two countries will always be based on the principles of respect for the sovereignty of the States and a good neighborhood,” said the emir’s office in a statement.

Qatari Prime minister Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman Bin Jassim Al-Thani said on Wednesday that “Qatar has undertaken significant diplomatic efforts with regional and international partners to defuse tensions”.

And the impact of these efforts will be felt far beyond Israel and Iran, suggested Baroudi.

“Washington and Doha have defused an invisible economic and ecological bomb,” he said, because the Gulf is a barrel of very flammable oil and gas powder, terminals and landlords.

“The whole region has more than 34 refineries along the coast. We have more than 105 power plants and desalination factories, so a cease-fire will store any danger to water and electricity (supply) in the whole region,” he said, suggesting that Qatar is nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize.