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It is a key element of democratic strategy in both the House and the Senate, where the party will have to win four seats to take over the room. Few or few states are as important for this mission as Georgia, where Ossoff is the only Democratic senator who presents himself to a re -election in a state won by Trump.
The message from the Georgia holder intervenes while the Democrats work to recover Record notes for the party And engage an electoral base wishing to hear the party’s plan to counter Trump.
“I want more visibility. I want them to speak and say that this is not what we want and that is how we are going to make changes, “said Stacey Michael, resident of Savannah and veteran. “Don’t let us ask us blindly.”
The role of Georgia as a political Bellwether has sharpened in recent years, the state -of -the -art state for the winner of the last three presidential elections and helping to determine the control of the Senate after 2020 and 2022. The southern battlefield served as a lighthouse for the Democrats during and immediately after Trump’s first mandate. They praised the victories there as proof that Trump disabled moderate voters and that the Democrats increased in a state with a history of decades of republican candidates.
Now, the party will turn to Ossoff to determine whether the series of victories of democrats in federal races before Trump’s demonstration in 2024 was, as the Republicans maintain, an anomaly fueled by the Pandemic Covid -19 – or if Georgia is a really purple battlefield.
Winning another mandate would oblige Ossoff to reverse the trends that fueled Trump’s victory last year: a higher participation among republican voters, marginal trips to the right in democratic bastions and decreasing enthusiasm among the basic democratic constituencies. A Georgia -based political scientist said that the re -election of Ossoff, although possible, would be a difficult battle.
“Georgia is even more competitive than in the mid -2000s, but the fundamental principles of the state still favored Republicans,” said Andra Gillespie, associate professor of political science at Emory University.
And the voters of Ossoff agree that he will have to make an effective appeal to the Republican district of the State to win.
“We were able to improve the elections and get the message across and compromise the questions we discuss between us. We must really improve,” said William Hear, a resident from Savannah, a retired teacher.
The competitiveness of Georgia, said Gillespie, stems from its demographic mixture. Blacks represent around a third of the global population, according to census data. But unlike neighboring southern southern states with large black populations, Georgia, over the past decade, has also experienced significant increases in its Latin American and Asian populations, other groups historically more likely to support Democratic candidates – although the Republicans have made forays with each of these groups in 2024.
And while most black voters once again supported the Democratic candidates in 2024, they did not prove to be at the same rate as the White Georgians, according to the analysis of the Brennan center.
Meanwhile, three of the four largest counties in Metro Atlanta, the most important source of democrats in the state, changed right last year.
A Analysis of the New York Times Electoral data show that while the Democrats have won in certain external suburbs, the county of Fulton, the most populous county house in Atlanta and Georgia, saw an evolution of 1.5 points towards Trump compared to 2020. While the county of Gwinnett, the second largest county of the State, saw a change of 3 points.
Behind this change was an effort by the Republican chairs Atlanta metro counties to reactivate what they described as a quiet republican district in the extremely blue region. In coordination with the Trump campaign, the county chairs used data analysis to target conservative voters with low propensity in the region with door knocks, digital advertisements and high -level substitutes, such as the current director of FBI Kash Patel and Lara Trump.