“Said one thing, does another”: what is the end of Trump in Iran? | News Israel-Iran Conflict

Washington, DC – During last week, US President Donald Trump published statements on Iran that seem contradictory.

He called to end the war and subject to to peace to come “soon”, to suggest as murder the Iranian supreme chief Ali Khamenei This could be an option for the United States with Israel’s bombing campaign.

In the last round, the White House said Thursday that Trump would make a decision on the advisability of joining war within two weeks.

These Changes in the president’s position Ask some observers to think that Trump may not have a clear strategy or an end of game; He was rather dragged to war by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has been looking for American attacks against Iran for decades.

Alternately, could Trump use his increasingly bellicose rhetoric against Iran to force Tehran to fully accept his nuclear program?

If so, experts warn that the edge of the tip could turn into a total war between the We and Iran.

Jamal Abdi, president of the National Iranian American Council, said that Trump could try to develop a lever effect with Iran’s strong threats to accept his “total surrender” requests.

“I think he is trying to present himself as this madman who is unpredictable, and in doing so, he can then insist on this very hard line that Iran refused to accept for decades of complete dismantling of his enrichment program,” Abdi told Al Jazeera.

Another possible explanation of Trump’s latest statements, added Abdi, is that it “is taken for a trip by Bibi Netanyahu to engage the United States in a full war with Iran”.

“He says one thing. He makes another ‘

US Iranian analyst Negar Mortazavi also said Trump was “overwhelmed” by Netanyahu.

“I don’t even know if President Trump knows what he wants,” Mortazavi told Al Jazeera.

“He campaigned as president of peace … He promised that he was going to end conflicts. Russia-Ukraine has not ended. Gaza has increasedAnd he just left the third Great War of the Middle East – which looks like a regime change war – starting under his watch. So he says one thing. He makes another.

Israel launched its bombing campaign against Iran last week, two days before us and Iranian officials were meet For a sixth round of talks in Oman.

A few hours before the start of the Israeli assault, Trump renewed his commitment to diplomacy. And the United States’s initial response to Israeli strikes was to emphasize that Washington is not involved in the attacks.

During the following days, however, Trump seemed to attribute the merit of the Israeli bombing campaign.

“We have now full and total control From heaven on Iran, “he wrote in an article on social networks on Tuesday, without explaining who was the” we “.

“Iran had good sky trackers and other defensive equipment, and many, but it does not compare to the” stuff “made, designed and manufactured”. No one does it better than the good old USA. “”

The strikes of Israel have targeted the air defenses of Iran, military and nuclear installations, oil infrastructure and residential buildings, killing hundreds of people, including senior military and political officials as well as Many civilians. Iran responded with hundreds of ballistic missiles that killed at least 24 Israelis and left generalized destruction across the country.

Israeli officials say they are trying to destroy Iranian nuclear and missile programs, but also note that their military campaign could lead to the collapse of the Iranian governance system, which, according to them, would be a welcome development.

However, it is largely believed that Israel would need us to destroy Iran’s main uranium enrichmentFordow, which is buried inside a mountain.

Mortazavi said the war Hawks and Israeli officials seem to plead in favor of Trump that Bombing Fordow will be an easy task.

“Instead of a war of change of regime – a devastating and useless war with Iran, against which he warned everyone and running in his campaigns, they just make it look like this:” Oh, you simply use your bunker busters once and do “.” “”

But Iran has promised to retaliate hard against any American attack.

Thousands of American troops in the region could go under Iranian missile strikes. If the war is intensifying, Iran could also disturb the shipping routes in the Gulf – a major lifeline for global energy.

Iranian legislators have already suggested That Iran can close the Hormuz Strait which connects the Gulf to the Indian Ocean and through which 20% of the oil flows in the world.

Catastrophic ‘war

Mortazavi said that climbing the conflict will have “catastrophic” consequences for the region.

“It will look like Iraq and Afghanistan combined, if not worse. Iran is a big country,” she said.

In Iraq, the war of change of bush regime has led to years of sectarian effusions and the rise of groups such as ISIL (ISIS). In Afghanistan, American forces fought for 20 years after depositing the Taliban from the Kabul capital, to see the group quickly return to power While the American troops withdrew.

Even if Iran’s governance system is overthrown under us and Israeli blows, experts warn that US war hawks should be careful with what they want.

Iran is a country of more than 90 million people. The fall of the government could lead to internal conflicts, travel attacks and regional – if not global instability, according to analysts.

“It is not a revolution in colors. It will be war and chaos, potentially civil war and troubles,” said Mortazavi.

Sarah Leah Whitson, executive director of the Dawn rights group, said that even if Trump is trying to take a lever effect with his threats and does not seek to change war or regime in Iran, it is a risky strategy.

“The possibilities of aggressions against Iran that transform not only in regional warBut potentially a world war, are extremely high, “Whitson told Al Jazeera.

“And therefore, the continuous belligerent and the hostile rhetoric of President Trump only do fuel on fire.”