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The regional vision of Iranian influence has already held in miniature in Lebanon.
The very destructive dismantling of Israel of Iranian influence in Lebanon was quietly welcomed by those who outside the base of the Shiite supporter group, even though Lebanese leaders continued to publicly oppose Israel and defend the Palestinian cause.
Lebanese HezbollahAn militant group that was funded and started in part by the Islamic Republic, has not publicly committed to getting involved in this last escalation between Israel and Iran. Sunday evening, a declaration of Hezbollah congratulated the courage and the resilience of its patronal state, while subtly indicating that Iran will have to stand alone.
“(Iran is) capable of dealing with this assault and offering a bitter defeat to the American and Zionist enemy,” the statement said.
In the past year, Iran looked at the touch while Israel has exceeded the Hezbollah power base in southern Lebanon, murdered most of the group’s leaders, destroyed its carefully built military infrastructure and killed thousands of Lebanese civilians.
Hezbollah “thinks that they paid an extremely high price in the last series of fighting between Hezbollah and Israel,” said Maksad. “Iran was not found. There is therefore this very strong feeling, including among Lebanese Shiites, that Iran abandoned them at the time of necessity. ”
The new head of Syria, Ahmad al-Sharaa Odded the ASSAD regime supported by Iran last year and has since made public supplications to the Trump administration and even reported a desire to facilitate tensions with Israel.
The main concern of short -term Arab leaders is that Iran could decide to retaliate against them or the huge American military facilities they organize.
Yoel Guzansky, a principal researcher at the Institute of National Security Studies, who helped coordinate Iran and Gulf affairs at the Israeli National Security Council, said that he expects Iran to execute a “wild” response similar to his reprisals after the murdered Trump administration has murdered The commander of the body of the Islamic revolutionary guard Qassem Soleimani, in 2020.